Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.840422 4.098064 4.374685 4.695624 5.060141 5.464221 5.950217
2024-10-13 3.451802 3.787557 4.166807 4.632692 5.198001 5.873470 6.760832
2024-10-20 3.140778 3.520251 3.966117 4.539811 5.276239 6.217688 7.564596
2024-10-27 2.862476 3.261844 3.745967 4.392991 5.264424 6.448128 8.286001
2024-11-03 2.753158 3.197313 3.755654 4.536768 5.654199 7.299139 10.170721
2024-11-10 2.680064 3.170666 3.810103 4.747900 6.180062 8.493962 13.188714
2024-11-17 2.517879 3.014197 3.676383 4.678598 6.280316 9.052615 15.416692
2024-11-24 2.362222 2.854593 3.523987 4.563699 6.290773 9.469437 17.703966
2024-12-01 2.240382 2.732278 3.413504 4.499439 6.376712 10.069638 21.127433
2024-12-08 2.137941 2.629750 3.322823 4.455574 6.492676 10.787743 26.031399
2024-12-15 2.082110 2.588690 3.318494 4.550447 6.886358 12.323417 38.068207
2024-12-22 1.987294 2.485720 3.212792 4.463245 6.910188 12.973535 48.822189
2024-12-29 1.923377 2.433700 3.196330 4.557227 7.398107 15.480872 110.827968
2025-01-05 1.827326 2.328370 3.088273 4.475958 7.497228 16.980881 294.523686
2025-01-12 1.735574 2.224240 2.974513 4.371571 7.526562 18.381469 16693.239011
2025-01-19 1.643357 2.114456 2.843943 4.221032 7.413903 19.197811 NaN
2025-01-26 1.608612 2.090497 2.852912 4.343819 8.052140 24.898337 NaN
2025-02-02 1.585600 2.083084 2.889053 4.529403 8.968471 36.254047 NaN
2025-02-09 1.524189 2.011310 2.808235 4.457727 9.090648 42.486816 NaN
2025-02-16 1.461832 1.934913 2.714102 4.345941 9.052660 47.580019 NaN
2025-02-23 1.411127 1.874855 2.645061 4.282039 9.167322 57.230817 NaN
2025-03-02 1.366948 1.823247 2.587728 4.237877 9.346827 72.795001 NaN
2025-03-09 1.342736 1.802942 2.585604 4.321408 10.067481 137.157895 NaN